Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.