Caernarfon

0 - 2

Connah's Quay

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.