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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Haverfordwest

Franklin (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rees (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 0-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawHaverfordwest County
62.1% (-0.498 -0.5) 21.88% (0.226 0.23) 16.02% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-0.451 -0.45)49.11% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (-0.409 -0.41)71.18% (0.408 0.41)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.31 -0.31)15.27% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.584 -0.58)43.97% (0.584 0.58)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.44% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.55% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.25% (0.074000000000002 0.07)79.75% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 62.1%
    Haverfordwest County 16.02%
    Draw 21.88%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 62.1%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 16.02%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
3-0
Haverfordwest
Morris (30' pen., 44'), Poole (57')
Disney (9'), Mello (59'), Owens (85')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-1
Connah's Quay
Fawcett (88')
Jones-Thomas (88')
Morris (34' pen.)
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Haverfordwest
Horan (45+1'), Wilde (59')
Disney (52'), Harrison (90')

Watts (89')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-4
Connah's Quay
Pemberton (33')
Jones (24'), Keetch (69'), Fawcett (70'), (89')
Curran (10', 51'), Edwards (53'), Poole (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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