Connah's Quay1 - 0Haverfordwest
Rees (77')
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
62.1% ( -0.5) | 21.88% ( 0.23) | 16.02% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( -0.45) | 49.11% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% ( -0.41) | 71.18% ( 0.41) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.73% ( -0.31) | 15.27% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.03% ( -0.58) | 43.97% ( 0.58) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.44% ( 0.09) | 43.55% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.25% ( 0.07) | 79.75% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.02% |
Jones (24'), Keetch (69'), Fawcett (70'), (89')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 33 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 11 |
11 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 10 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |