Wolfsburg take on Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with the Wolves looking to bounce back after their unbeaten run of nine league matches was ended at Hoffenheim last weekend.
Schalke, meanwhile, drew 0-0 with Mainz 05, which in reality did little to boost either side's survival hopes.
Match preview
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Wolfsburg had not even conceded a league goal for 666 minutes of football heading into their game against Hoffenheim, but Christoph Baumgartner ended that run in decisive fashion when his eighth-minute opener powered off the underside of the bar and over Koen Casteels's goal-line.
Wout Weghorst levelled the proceedings 15 minutes later after being played in behind Hoffenheim's crazily high line, with the Dutchman racing through and dinking the ball over Oliver Baumann in trademark fashion for his 15th league goal of the season.
Weghorst squandered an opportunity to provide the Wolves with the lead when played through once more, with Andrej Kramaric punishing his profligacy by obliging with a simple finish at the back post four minutes prior to the half-time interval.
Oliver Glasner's side pushed for an equaliser throughout the second half but ultimately came up short, with Otavio sent off in injury time for a horrendous professional foul on Munas Dabbur, who otherwise would have stroked the ball into an empty net after Casteels had been caught upfield attempting to score from a corner.
With a five-point cushion to Bayer Leverkusen in fifth, Glasner will be reassuring his players that their destiny very much remains in their own hands in terms of qualifying for next season's Champions League, with one defeat in 10 league games far from representing a disaster.
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Schalke, on the other hand, have certainly ventured from one disaster to another throughout this campaign, culminating in the club appointing their fifth head coach of the season in Dimitrios Grammozis last week.
The 42-year-old, who previously managed SV Darmstadt 98, has been handed a contract until 2022, so he may already be planning the best course of action in terms returning to the Bundesliga at the first attempt next season.
Indeed, last weekend's 0-0 draw with Mainz leaves them 11 points from safety with only 10 games remaining, with Frederik Ronnow producing an excellent save to deny Jonathan Burkhardt, although Bo Svensson would have been extremely disappointed with his side's lack of accuracy in front of goal.
Grammozis, meanwhile, will be hoping for greater attacking fluency after mustering only two shots across the 90 minutes despite having 49% possession of the ball. It is likely to be a tough ask, though, against a Wolfsburg side who had kept seven consecutive clean sheets prior to their defeat at Hoffenheim.
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Team News
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Wolfsburg will be without Otavio for four matches after his vicious tackle on Dabbur, while Xaver Schlager and Maxence Lacroix are both suspended for one match having picked up their fifth cautions of the season during the defeat.
Glasner was also dealt a huge blow in Hoffenheim by Renato Steffen sustaining a ligament injury in his ankle, with the Swiss winger likely to be out of action until May.
Jerome Roussillon's calf injury leaves the 46-year-old with no obvious solution at left-back, with Jeffrey Bruma perhaps recalled to the starting XI in order to do a job in that position, and the returning Marin Pongracic partnering John Brooks in the heart of the defence.
Schalke, meanwhile, have their own availability crisis, with Omar Mascarell suspended after receiving his fifth yellow card of the season against Mainz.
Amine Harit was a late withdrawal from the starting XI in that match due to a muscular problem and could be out until the end of March.
Nabil Bentaleb, Nassim Boujellab, Ralf Fahrmann, Matija Nastasic, Mark Uth, Klaas Jan Huntelaar, Steven Skrzybski, Kilian Ludewig, Salif Sane and Goncalo Paciencia are all likely to remain sidelined.
Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Pongracic, Brooks, Bruma; Guilavogui, Arnold; Baku, Gerhardt, Mehmedi; Weghorst
Schalke 04 possible starting lineup:
Ronnow; Becker, Mustafi, Thiaw; William, Serdar, Kolasinac, Calhanoglu; Bozdogan; Hoppe, Raman
We say: Wolfsburg 1-0 Schalke 04
Given their selection issues, we can envisage Wolfsburg finding things tougher than anticipated against Schalke, who did look defensively stronger in Grammozis's first game in charge last weekend.
However, the visitors are fairly depleted, too, and may lack the offensive threat to trouble even a makeshift Wolfsburg defensive unit, with Weghorst potentially proving the difference between the sides.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
