MX23RW : Friday, November 8 11:57:21| >> :600:1990394:1990394:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Da Tapadinha
Rosengard

Benfica
1 - 0
Rosengard

Nazareth (52')
Alves (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Samuelsson (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Benfica Women and Rosengard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Benfica
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Rosengard 1-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, November 14 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Benfica Women 2-0 Rosengard

Benfica claimed maximum points in their two group-stage meetings with Rosengard last season, and we think that they will add to that head-to-head record with another victory in Wednesday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica Women win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Rosengard had a probability of 37.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Rosengard win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica Women would win this match.

Result
Benfica WomenDrawRosengard
38.23% (-2.46 -2.46) 23.89% (-0.313 -0.31) 37.88% (2.776 2.78)
Both teams to score 61.91% (1.476 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (1.795 1.79)40.3% (-1.79 -1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (1.824 1.82)62.67% (-1.82 -1.82)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.398 -0.4)21.23% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (-0.621 -0.62)54.13% (0.624 0.62)
Rosengard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (2.261 2.26)21.4% (-2.258 -2.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6% (3.367 3.37)54.4% (-3.364 -3.36)
Score Analysis
    Benfica Women 38.23%
    Rosengard 37.88%
    Draw 23.88%
Benfica WomenDrawRosengard
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.609 -0.61)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.352 -0.35)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.184 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.385 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.337 0.34)
0-1 @ 7% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.28 0.28)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.441 0.44)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.305 0.31)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.315 0.32)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.267 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.193 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.88%

How you voted: Benfica vs Rosengard

Benfica Women
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Rosengard
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Rosengard
1-3
Benfica
Schough (30')
Lacasse (37', 40'), Raysla (47')
Nov 24, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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