Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Grenada had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Grenada win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Antigua and Barbuda in this match.