Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.