Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenada win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 11.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenada win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a US Virgin Islands win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenada would win this match.