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Belarus national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
Wales national football team

Belarus
2 - 3
Wales

Lisakovich (29' pen.), Sedko (30')
Chernik (4'), Bykov (11'), Kondratjev (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bale (5' pen., 69' pen., 90+3')
Gunter (27')

The Match

Match Report

The Real Madrid forward had not scored for his country since October 2019.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Belarus and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Belarus win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawWales
37.35%24.2%38.44%
Both teams to score 60.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13%41.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73%64.27%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.86%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19%21.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97%55.02%
Score Analysis
    Belarus 37.35%
    Wales 38.44%
    Draw 24.2%
BelarusDrawWales
2-1 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.44%

How you voted: Belarus vs Wales

Belarus
Draw
Wales
Belarus
11.7%
Draw
18.2%
Wales
70.1%
137
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Wales
1-0
Belarus
James (17')

Zolotov (57')
rhs 2.0
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