World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Brazil1 - 1Venezuela
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Venezuela.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peru 0-1 Brazil
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Brazil 2-0 Venezuela
Not since October 2015 have Brazil lost a World Cup qualifier and they should have few problems claiming all three points and maintaining their perfect start to qualifying on Friday. Venezuela have built a positive run of form under new boss Batista, but the Selecao should ultimately have too much quality in the final third for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Venezuela |
71.85% ( -0.15) | 17.44% ( 0.02) | 10.71% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
