World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental de Maturin

Venezuela
1 - 0
Paraguay

Rondon (90+3' pen.)
Sosa (37'), Andres Martinez (65'), Navarro (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ortiz (42'), Gonzalez (75'), Gomez (83'), Piris (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	1	4	3
2	Uruguay	1	2	3
3	Argentina	1	1	3
4	Colombia	1	1	3
5	Paraguay	1	0	1
6	Peru	1	0	1
7	Venezuela	1	-1	0
8	Ecuador	1	-1	0
9	Chile	1	-2	0
10	Bolivia	1	-4	0

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Peru
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	1	4	3
2	Uruguay	1	2	3
3	Argentina	1	1	3
4	Colombia	1	1	3
5	Paraguay	1	0	1
6	Peru	1	0	1
7	Venezuela	1	-1	0
8	Ecuador	1	-1	0
9	Chile	1	-2	0
10	Bolivia	1	-4	0

We said: Venezuela 0-1 Paraguay

While the visitors may have been unable to make the most of being a man up in the last match, their defensive solidity was evident as they starved their opponents of any clear-cut chances. We fancy they will manage to find the net against this opposition and also expect them to keep another clean sheet here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Paraguay
56.62% ( 0.41)	26.06% ( -0.28)	17.32% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 39.22% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.93% (

0.68)

62.07% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.21% (

0.5)

81.79% (

-0.5)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

0.46)

22.17% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44% (

0.69)

55.56% (

-0.69)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.39% (

0.23)

49.61% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.61% (

0.16)

84.38% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Venezuela 56.61%

Paraguay 17.32%

Draw 26.05%

Venezuela	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 16.56% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.61%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.32%