World Cup | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2022 at 7pm UK
Costa Rica2 - 4Germany
The Match
Match Report
Germany are knocked out of the World Cup at the group stage for the second successive time despite a 4-2 win over Costa Rica, who are also eliminated.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup clash between Costa Rica and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Thursday's World Cup 2022 Group E clash with Costa Rica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Costa Rica
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Last Game: Spain 1-1 Germany
Sunday, November 27 at 7pm in World Cup
Sunday, November 27 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Germany |
10.26% ( -0.3) | 16.12% ( -0.19) | 73.62% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
