World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2022 at 1pm UK
Germany1 - 2Japan
Reaction
Thomas Muller, Manuel Neuer frustrated by Germany's defeat to Japan
Germany duo Thomas Muller and Manuel Neuer react to their side's 2-1 defeat to Japan at the 2022 World Cup.
Nov 23, 18:49
Hansi Flick admits Germany "are under pressure" following Japan loss
Germany boss Hansi Flick says that his side "are under pressure" at the World Cup following their 2-1 defeat to Japan.
Nov 23, 18:36
The Match
Match Report
Japan score two late goals to record a 2-1 victory over Germany in their opening match of the 2022 World Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Japan could line up for Wednesday's World Cup 2022 Group E clash with Germany.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oman 0-1 Germany
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Japan had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Japan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
53.21% ( -0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.18) | 22.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
