World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2022 at 1pm UK
Germany1 - 2Japan
Reaction
Thomas Muller, Manuel Neuer frustrated by Germany's defeat to Japan
Germany duo Thomas Muller and Manuel Neuer react to their side's 2-1 defeat to Japan at the 2022 World Cup.
2 years ago
Hansi Flick admits Germany "are under pressure" following Japan loss
Germany boss Hansi Flick says that his side "are under pressure" at the World Cup following their 2-1 defeat to Japan.
2 years ago
The Match
Match Report
Japan score two late goals to record a 2-1 victory over Germany in their opening match of the 2022 World Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Japan could line up for Wednesday's World Cup 2022 Group E clash with Germany.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oman 0-1 Germany
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Japan had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Japan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
53.21% ( -0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.18) | 22.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( -0.57) | 49.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0.52) | 71.64% ( 0.52) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( -0.34) | 18.59% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.57) | 49.86% ( 0.57) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.18) | 36.54% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.19) | 73.33% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Germany 53.21%
Japan 22.59%
Draw 24.19%
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.59% |
How you voted: Germany vs Japan
Germany
75.5%Draw
11.6%Japan
12.9%1085
Form Guide
Build-up
Germany vs. Japan: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Sports Mole looks at how the squads of Germany and Japan compare ahead of Wednesday's World Cup clash between the two sides.
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World Cup 2022: Germany vs. Japan head-to-head record
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World Cup 2022: Reasons for Germany to be confident of beating Japan
Ahead of their opening match in Group E, Sports Mole looks at some reasons why Germany should be confident of collecting all three points against Japan.
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How Japan could line up against Germany
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Japan could line up for Wednesday's World Cup 2022 Group E clash with Germany.
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How Germany could line up against Japan
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Wednesday's World Cup 2022 Group E clash with Japan.
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