MX23RW : Monday, May 12 18:29:56| >> :600:4870657:4870657:
Spain national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 23, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Costa Rica national football team

Spain
7 - 0
Costa Rica

Olmo (11'), Asensio (21'), Torres (31' pen., 54'), Gavi (74'), Soler (90'), Morata (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Calvo (68'), Campbell (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Spain begin their 2022 World Cup with a 7-0 victory over Costa Rica, which leaves them top of Group E ahead of Japan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup clash between Spain and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Costa Rica could line up in Wednesday's World Cup contest with Spain.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 1-3 Spain
Thursday, November 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 10 at 2am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 8.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.75%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawCosta Rica
73.67% (0.375 0.38) 17.87% (-0.264 -0.26) 8.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 37.3% (0.31 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.723 0.72)50.39% (-0.72 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.637 0.64)72.32% (-0.634 -0.63)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.318 0.32)12.18% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (0.664 0.66)37.82% (-0.66 -0.66)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.47% (0.201 0.2)57.52% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.66% (0.111 0.11)89.33% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Spain 73.65%
    Costa Rica 8.46%
    Draw 17.87%
SpainDrawCosta Rica
2-0 @ 15.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 14.75% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-0 @ 10.89% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.74% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 73.65%
1-1 @ 8.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 2.37% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.87%
0-1 @ 3.87% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 8.46%

How you voted: Spain vs Costa Rica

Spain
Draw
Costa Rica
Spain
69.4%
Draw
15.5%
Costa Rica
15.1%
817
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2017 8.30pm
Spain
5-0
Costa Rica
Alba (6'), Morata (23'), Silva (51', 55'), Iniesta (74')
Alacantra (67')

Waston (62')
rhs 2.0
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