
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 1pm UK

Ethiopia1 - 1Ghana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ethiopia | Draw | Ghana |
28.57% | 25.18% | 46.25% |
Both teams to score 54.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% | 49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% | 71.08% |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% | 31.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% | 67.57% |
Ghana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% | 21.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% | 54.09% |
Score Analysis |
Ethiopia 28.57%
Ghana 46.24%
Draw 25.18%
Ethiopia | Draw | Ghana |
1-0 @ 7.71% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.24% |
How you voted: Ethiopia vs Ghana
Ethiopia
22.9%Draw
11.4%Ghana
65.7%35
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2021 8pm
Jan 21, 2014 5pm