Iraq

4 - 1

Cambodia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Cambodia had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Cambodia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.