World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg

Oct 12, 2023 at 12pm UK

Rasmee Dhandu Stadium

Maldives
1 - 1
Bangladesh

(Bangladesh win 3-2 on aggregate)

Nazeem (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Uddin (90+2')
Rana (38'), Ridoy (76'), Ghosh (90+2'), Uddin (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Maldives and Bangladesh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maldives

Last Game: Maldives 1-0 Pakistan
Tuesday, March 21 at 11am in International Friendlies

Bangladesh

Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Afghanistan
Thursday, September 7 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Maldives had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Maldives win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Maldives	Draw	Bangladesh
33.92% ( -22.65)	27.26% ( 2.39)	38.82% ( 20.27)

Both teams to score 49.87% (

5.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.42% (

1.16)

55.58% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.25% (

0.94)

76.75% (

-0.94)

Maldives Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-10.84)

30.86% (

10.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86% (

-14.92)

67.15% (

14.92)

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

17.05)

27.87% (

-17.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53% (

17.39)

63.47% (

-17.39)

Score Analysis

Maldives 33.92%

Bangladesh 38.81%

Draw 27.25%

Maldives	Draw	Bangladesh
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -4.35) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -1.72) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -5.69) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -2.02) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -3.91) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 1.34) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 1.13) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( 3.78) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 3.62) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 4.14) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2.28) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2.22) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.88) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.8) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.81%