![Northern Ireland national football team Northern Ireland national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/nirelog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
![Lithuania national football team Lithuania national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/litlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
N. Ireland1 - 0Lithuania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland in this match.
Result | ||
Northern Ireland | Draw | Lithuania |
49.22% | 25.35% | 25.42% |
Both teams to score 51.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.21% | 51.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% | 73.55% |
Northern Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.94% | 21.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.14% | 53.86% |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% | 35.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.04% | 71.95% |
Score Analysis |
Northern Ireland 49.22%
Lithuania 25.42%
Draw 25.35%
Northern Ireland | Draw | Lithuania |
1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.42% |
How you voted: N. Ireland vs Lithuania
Northern Ireland
84.5%Draw
9.9%Lithuania
5.6%71
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
1-4
N. Ireland
Ballard (20'), Washington (52' pen.), Lavery (67'), McNair (82' pen.)
Washington (60'), McNair (63')
Washington (60'), McNair (63')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 05:19:09
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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