World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bulgaria2 - 1N. Ireland
FT(HT: 0-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bulgaria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 40.59% | 24.32% | 35.1% |
| Both teams to score 60.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
