Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.
Result | ||
Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
48.32% | 20.9% | 30.78% |
Both teams to score 71.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.66% | 27.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.08% | 47.92% |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.86% | 12.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.27% | 37.73% |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% | 18.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.53% | 50.47% |
Score Analysis |
Bulgaria 48.32%
Lithuania 30.78%
Draw 20.9%
Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
2-1 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.97% 1-0 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-3 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 7.08% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 2.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.71% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 1.55% 3-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.78% |
How you voted: Bulgaria vs Lithuania
Bulgaria
89.4%Draw
7.1%Lithuania
3.5%85
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 02:16:52
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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10
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