World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Huye

Rwanda
2 - 0
South Africa

Nshuti (12'), Mugisha (28')
Nshuti (12'), Spittler (13'), Mugisha (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Rwanda and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Zimbabwe
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

South Africa

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Benin
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

We said: Rwanda 1-2 South Africa

South Africa have been defensively solid of late, and that has set the tone for a six-game unbeaten run. We are backing them to emerge victorious against Rwanda in what should be an open and end-to-end affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rwanda would win this match.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	South Africa
38.41% ( -0.11)	30.43% ( -0.01)	31.16% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 40.59% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.28% (

0.06)

66.72% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92% (

0.04)

85.08% (

-0.04)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.04)

33.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.04)

70.37% (

0.04)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

0.13)

38.77% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

0.12)

75.5% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 38.4%

South Africa 31.15%

Draw 30.41%

Rwanda	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.4%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.41%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 31.15%