Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.
