Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
