Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sudan win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.