World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 1, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estadio 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 1
Guinea

Mendes (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kamano (7')
Pogba (19'), Camara (42')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Second Round clash between Guinea-Bissau and Guinea.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Guinea
42.95%	26.55%	30.49%

Both teams to score 50.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31%

53.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82%

75.18%

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22%

24.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.65%

59.35%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75%

32.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26%

68.74%

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 42.94%

Guinea 30.49%

Draw 26.55%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.49%