Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cayman Islands had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Cayman Islands win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.