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Vanuatu national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2024 at 4am UK
 
Samoa national football team

Vanuatu
vs.
Samoa

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Vanuatu and Samoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tonga 2-1 Samoa
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Samoa win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Vanuatu has a probability of 25.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Vanuatu win is 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
VanuatuDrawSamoa
25.43% (1.344 1.34) 23.4% (0.671 0.67) 51.17% (-2.02 -2.02)
Both teams to score 57.45% (-0.816 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51% (-1.761 -1.76)43.48% (1.757 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12% (-1.753 -1.75)65.88% (1.748 1.75)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.143 0.14)30.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.169 0.17)66.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
Samoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-1.358 -1.36)17.06% (1.354 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (-2.454 -2.45)47.23% (2.452 2.45)
Score Analysis
    Vanuatu 25.43%
    Samoa 51.17%
    Draw 23.39%
VanuatuDrawSamoa
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.255 0.26)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.487 0.49)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.43%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.394 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.295 0.3)
0-2 @ 8.2% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 51.17%

Who will win Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Vanuatu and Samoa?

Vanuatu
Draw
Samoa
Vanuatu
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Samoa
0.0%
0
rhs 2.0
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