Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Vanuatu and Samoa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tonga 2-1 Samoa
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Monday, September 9 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Samoa win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Vanuatu has a probability of 25.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samoa win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Vanuatu win is 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).
Result | ||
Vanuatu | Draw | Samoa |
25.43% ( 1.34) | 23.4% ( 0.67) | 51.17% ( -2.02) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.51% ( -1.76) | 43.48% ( 1.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.12% ( -1.75) | 65.88% ( 1.75) |
Vanuatu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 0.14) | 30.73% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( 0.17) | 66.99% ( -0.17) |
Samoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( -1.36) | 17.06% ( 1.35) |