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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Arminia Bielefeld logos

St Pauli
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Hartel (53'), Daschner (69')
Saad (20'), Metcalfe (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Consbruch (73')
Ramos (16'), Andrade (33'), Klos (69')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 4-3 St Pauli
Friday, April 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Hannover
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawArminia Bielefeld
61.56% (0.617 0.62) 21.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 17.09% (-0.577 -0.58)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.825 -0.83)45.07% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.798 -0.8)67.42% (0.8 0.8)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)14.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.25% (-0.152 -0.15)41.75% (0.155 0.16)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-1.178 -1.18)39.78% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-1.104 -1.1)76.45% (1.107 1.11)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 61.56%
    Arminia Bielefeld 17.09%
    Draw 21.34%
St PauliDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.56%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.34%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.09%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Arminia Bielefeld
2-0
St Pauli
Serra (76', 84')
Lepinjica (17')
Dec 21, 2019 12pm
gameweek 18
St Pauli
3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Veerman (3', 25'), Gyokeres (54')
Zander (60')
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
St Pauli
Prietl (90')
Behrendt (56'), Prietl (69')
Joe Conteh (32')
Miyaichi (79'), Hoffmann (90')
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 29
St Pauli
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Miyaichi (48')
Yi-young (4'), Buchtmann (56'), Carstens (75')
Klos (5' pen.)
Voglsammer (45'), Behrendt (60'), Weihrauch (64')
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
gameweek 12
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
St Pauli
Staude (7')
Staude (14'), Klos (54'), Lucoqui (82')
Knoll (49' pen.), Moller Daehli (55')
Nehrig (90'), Moller Daehli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hamburger SV1997343251834
2FC Koln1910453324934
3Magdeburg198833627932
4KaiserslauternKaiserslautern199553630632
5Hannover199462519631
6SC PaderbornSC Paderborn198743126531
7Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf198653327630
8Karlsruher SCKarlsruher198563736129
9Elversberg198473328528
10SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt196763832625
11Nuremberg197483434025
12Hertha Berlin197483131025
13Schalke 04Schalke196673534124
14Preussen Munster194872226-420
15Greuther Furth195592739-1220
16SSV UlmUlm193882223-117
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig1936101737-2015
18Jahn RegensburgJahn1932141045-3511
> 2.Bundesliga Full Table


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