2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Imtech Arena
Hamburger SV4 - 3St Pauli
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and St Pauli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-0 Hamburger SV
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, April 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-2 Braunschweig
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | St Pauli |
55.87% ( 3.16) | 20.96% ( -0.66) | 23.17% ( -2.5) |
| Both teams to score 63.48% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.55) | 34.36% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.73% ( 0.61) | 56.27% ( -0.61) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.65% ( 1.12) | 12.35% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.82% ( 2.3) | 38.18% ( -2.3) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -1.59) | 27.57% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.91% ( -2.09) | 63.09% ( 2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV 55.87%
St Pauli 23.17%
Draw 20.96%
| Hamburger SV | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.41)1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.49)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.19)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.54% Total : 55.87% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.63% Total : 23.17% |
How you voted: Hamburger SV vs St Pauli
Hamburger SV
46.2%Draw
30.8%St Pauli
23.1%13
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 20
Hamburger SV
2-1
St Pauli
Mar 1, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 23
St Pauli
1-0
Hamburger SV
Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')
Oct 30, 2020 5.30pm
Form Guide
