MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:54:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Auckland FC
vs.
Victory

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-4 Western Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 4am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Central Coast vs. Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Sydney FC vs. Victory
Saturday, December 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Auckland FC has a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Auckland FC win it is 2-1 (5.66%).

Result
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne Victory
21.39% (-1.88 -1.88) 22.2% (-1.612 -1.61) 56.41% (3.487 3.49)
Both teams to score 56.49% (2.805 2.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (4.92 4.92)42.42% (-4.924 -4.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (4.738 4.74)64.82% (-4.742 -4.74)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (1.012 1.01)33.64% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (1.09 1.09)70.28% (-1.092 -1.09)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (2.97 2.97)14.87% (-2.975 -2.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (5.386 5.39)43.2% (-5.39 -5.39)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 21.39%
    Melbourne Victory 56.41%
    Draw 22.19%
Auckland FCDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 5.66% (-0.327 -0.33)
1-0 @ 5.45% (-1.104 -1.1)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.504 -0.5)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.136 0.14)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 21.39%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.91 -0.91)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.234 0.23)
0-0 @ 5% (-1.182 -1.18)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.164 0.16)
0-1 @ 9.53% (-1.119 -1.12)
0-2 @ 9.08% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.29% (0.695 0.7)
0-3 @ 5.77% (0.494 0.49)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.462 0.46)
1-4 @ 3% (0.586 0.59)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.476 0.48)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.355 0.36)
1-5 @ 1.14% (0.311 0.31)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.41%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!