MX23RW : Monday, November 4 20:50:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 3, 2024 at 5am UK
AAMI Park
Macarthur

Victory
2 - 1
Macarthur

Arzani (69' pen.), Piscopo (75')
Geria (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Germain (51')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-3 Victory
Saturday, October 26 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Friday, October 25 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMacarthur
50.21% (0.334 0.33) 22.1% (0.07 0.07) 27.69% (-0.41 -0.41)
Both teams to score 64.26% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)35.44% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (-0.741 -0.74)57.48% (0.735 0.73)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (-0.131 -0.13)14.46% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57% (-0.248 -0.25)42.42% (0.243 0.24)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)24.87% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.851 -0.85)59.48% (0.845 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 50.21%
    Macarthur 27.69%
    Draw 22.1%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.198 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.69%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 6.30am
Gameweek 16
Victory
0-1
Macarthur
Hollman (21')
Uskok (35'), Borges Rodrigues (58'), Kurto (90+3')
Nov 24, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Macarthur
1-1
Victory
Millar (12')
Aspropotamitis (7'), Davila (43'), Sterjovski (72')
Nicolaou (90+5' og.)
Da Silva (42'), Traore (53'), Arzani (66')
Traore (62')
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 25
Victory
2-1
Macarthur
> Preview
Dec 11, 2022 6am
Gameweek 7
Macarthur
0-1
Victory
Folami (84')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Macarthur
1-4
Victory
Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')
Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')
rhs 2.0
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