MX23RW : Tuesday, April 16 20:37:14| >> :60:1801:1801:
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 0
Al Ittihad

Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kante (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ittihad

Al-Hilal are showing no signs of slowing down, and we do not see that stopping on Tuesday against a side in Al Ittihad who have been inconsistent defensively, with players and coaches struggling to get along. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
53.61% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 21.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.07% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 64.54% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02% (-0.157 -0.16)33.98% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)55.84% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)12.88% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.139 -0.14)25.91% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.19 -0.19)60.91% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 53.62%
    Al Ittihad 25.07%
    Draw 21.31%
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Ittihad

Al-Hilal
79.7%
Draw
12.5%
Al Ittihad
7.8%
64
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Al-Shehri (39'), Malcom (59'), Abdul Hamid (67')
Al-Shehri (50'), Al-Faraj (77')
Kante (12')
Fabinho (35'), Al-Sahafi (47'), Hegazy (50')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')
rhs 2.0
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