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Asian Cup
Jordan national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 25, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium
Bahrain national football team

Jordan
0 - 1
Bahrain


Al Ajalin (56'), Olwan (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yusuf (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Bahrain

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Malaysia
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Jordan 1-1 Bahrain

 There is little to choose between these evenly matched sides, and this matchup could go either way, though we do not expect either team to find a decisive breakthrough on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
JordanDrawBahrain
39.46% (0.824 0.82) 25.75% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 34.77% (-0.733 -0.73)
Both teams to score 54.89% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (0.327 0.33)49.25% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (0.293 0.29)71.31% (-0.301 -0.3)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (0.586 0.59)24.58% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (0.818 0.82)59.07% (-0.825 -0.83)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)27.21% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.366 -0.37)62.63% (0.359 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Jordan 39.46%
    Bahrain 34.77%
    Draw 25.75%
JordanDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.77%

How you voted: Jordan vs Bahrain

Jordan
68.3%
Draw
23.3%
Bahrain
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 3
Bahrain
1-2
Jordan

Mahdy Baqer (40')
Iyad Olwan (15'), Faisal (46')
Al-Daoud (49'), Al-Fakhori (86')
Mar 30, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 3
Jordan
2-1
Bahrain
Faisal (31'), Ibrahim Rateb (52')
Samir (29'), (86'), (90+5')
Al Romaihi (78' pen.)
Ali Hashem (44')
rhs 2.0
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