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Asian Cup
Jordan national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Thumama Stadium
South Korea national football team

Jordan
2 - 2
South Korea

Yong-woo (37' og.), Al-Naimat (45+6')
Haddad (8'), Al Tamari (18'), Al-Arab (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Heung-min (9' pen.), Al-Arab (90+1' og.)
In-beom (28'), Oh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Malaysia 0-4 Jordan
Monday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

South Korea

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We said: Jordan 0-2 South Korea

 Jordan have never beaten South Korea in five previous meetings, failing to score on four occasions, and given their injury concerns we expect them to have difficulty creating many chances on Saturday. We believe the difficult opening match for the South Koreans will serve as a wake-up call for a group of players desperate to get their country back on top of the Asian podium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
JordanDrawSouth Korea
28.23% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 26.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 45.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.017000000000003 0.02)75.39% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.06% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.032 0.03)70.75% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Jordan 28.23%
    South Korea 45.41%
    Draw 26.35%
JordanDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 11.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.41%

How you voted: Jordan vs South Korea

Jordan
13.4%
Draw
8.5%
South Korea
78.0%
82
rhs 2.0
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