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Barcelona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 21, 2021 at 1pm UK
Camp Nou
Cadiz logo

Barcelona
1 - 1
Cadiz

Messi (32' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alex (89' pen.)
Alejo (82'), Mari (85')

Preview: Barcelona vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona will be looking to make it eight La Liga victories in a row when they welcome an out-of-form Cadiz side to Camp Nou on Sunday afternoon.

Ronald Koeman's side are currently third in the table, nine points behind leaders Atletico Madrid, while Cadiz have dropped into 15th following a run of four straight defeats.


Match preview

Barcelona's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their first goal on February 16, 2021© Reuters

Barca's league form in 2021 has been excellent, winning each of their last seven matches, including a 5-1 victory over Alaves last weekend, which also made it 12 games unbeaten in Spain's top flight.

Koeman's side will enter this weekend's contest off the back of a hugely disappointing result in the Champions League, though, having lost 4-1 to Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg of their last-16 tie.

Kylian Mbappe scored a hat-trick for the French champions after Lionel Messi had made the breakthrough, and the Catalan giants now have a mountain to climb in the second leg on March 10.

Barca also have serious work to do if they are to progress to the final of the Copa del Rey, having lost 2-0 to Sevilla in the first leg of their last-four contest on February 10.

Despite their impressive league form, Koeman's side are still third in the table, three points behind second-placed Real Madrid and nine points behind leaders Atletico, meaning that it is going to be incredibly difficult to reclaim the La Liga title, which appears to be staying in Madrid.

Cadiz's Alvaro Negredo celebrates scoring their second goal in January 2021© Reuters

Cadiz were excellent in the first half of the season as they stayed in and around the top half, but there is no getting away from the fact that the team are currently going through a difficult spell.

Indeed, Alvaro Cervera's side have picked up just one point from their last five matches, losing their last four to Sevilla, Atletico, Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, conceding 15 times in the process.

Cadiz are currently 15th in the table, just three points clear of the relegation zone, meaning that they could soon find themselves pulled into the bottom three if their poor run of form continues.

El Submarino Amarillo have been impressive on their travels this season, though, picking up 14 points from 11 matches, while they were the last team to beat Barca in Spain's top flight, recording a 2-1 victory when the pair locked horns in the reverse game back in December.

Barcelona La Liga form: WWWWWW
Barcelona form (all competitions): WWWLWL

Cadiz La Liga form: WDLLLL
Cadiz form (all competitions): LDLLLL


Team News

Barcelona's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Barca will again be without the services of Ansu Fati, Philippe Coutinho and Sergi Roberto through injury, while the match is also likely to come too soon for Ronald Araujo, who is battling an ankle issue.

Gerard Pique made his return from injury against PSG and should continue in the heart of the defence, and the bulk of the side that featured in the Champions League is likely to remain in place.

There could be a change in the final third of the field, though, with Trincao, who scored twice in last weekend's win over Alaves, potentially joining Messi and Antoine Griezmann in attack.

As for Cadiz, Marcos Mauro is back following a suspension and should take the place of Juan Cala, who will now serve a ban due to his yellow card against Athletic last time out.

Augusto Fernandez, Carlos Akapo and Luismi Quezada are all still on the sidelines through injury, while Jens Jonsson and Alex Fernandez remain doubts for the visitors.

Alvaro Negredo will start in one of the two positions in the final third and is likely to be joined by Anthony Lozano despite the presence of Ruben Sobrino.

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Dest, Pique, Lenglet, Alba; Pedri, Busquets, De Jong; Trincao, Messi, Griezmann

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Iza, Alcala, Mauro, Espino; Sanchez, Jonsson, Fali, Perea; Lozano, Negredo


SM words green background

We say: Barcelona 3-0 Cadiz

Barca were disappointing against PSG in the Champions League but ran riot against Alaves in the league last weekend. Cadiz beat the Catalan giants earlier this season but are currently struggling for form, and we are finding it difficult to look past a comfortable home victory for Koeman's side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 77.45%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Barcelona vs Cadiz

Barcelona
92.9%
Draw
4.0%
Cadiz
3.2%
126
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Barcelona's Frenkie de Jong celebrates scoring against Elche in La Liga on January 24, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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