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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 12, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
3 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Avalos (31', 43'), Cabral (78')
Lomonaco (45+1'), Gabriel Montiel (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cavanagh (54'), Gomez (83')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Independiente
Saturday, February 8 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San Lorenzo
Saturday, February 8 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.59%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawVelez Sarsfield
43.01% (-0.108 -0.11) 30.36% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 26.63% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 38.94% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.21% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)67.79% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.21% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)85.79% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.101 -0.1)31.51% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.117 -0.12)67.9% (0.119 0.12)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (0.017999999999994 0.02)43.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 43%
    Velez Sarsfield 26.62%
    Draw 30.35%
IndependienteDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.69%
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43%
0-0 @ 13.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 13.19%
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.35%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.62%

Head to Head
May 27, 2024 12am
Gameweek 3
Independiente
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Avalos (63')
Laso (48'), Romero (68'), Lopez (90+1')
Aquino (32' pen.)
Fernandez (55'), Ordonez (62'), Canelo (67')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 2
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Independiente
Laso (27')
Aguilar (60')
Aug 27, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 2
Independiente
2-1
Velez Sarsfield
Gimenez Rojas (51', 90+5' pen.)
Baez (19'), Laso (87'), Marcone (90+13'), Rey (90+13')
Castro (83')
Romero (13'), Gianetti (56'), Gomez (89'), Osorio (90+8')
Mendez (14')
Feb 12, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Independiente
Aug 28, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Independiente
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Sonora (12')
Elizalde (30')
Pratto (90')
Fernandez (13'), Brizuela (85')
rhs 2.0
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