MX23RW : Thursday, July 25 09:32:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro

Bahia
4 - 1
Cruzeiro

Thaciano (45+9'), Estupinan (78', 90+6'), Teixeira (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veron (14')
Silva (45+2'), Veron (48'), Ramiro (90')
Marlon (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bahia
Friday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-0 Cruzeiro

Possessing a 100% record from home matches in the 2024 Brasileiro, Bahia should be supremely confident of getting back to winning ways on Sunday evening. Despite their positive start to the campaign, Cruzeiro have been unreliable on the road - failing to score in their last two away matches - and we feel that Raposa will endure more troubles on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCruzeiro
48.03% (0.265 0.27) 27.34% (-0.09 -0.09) 24.63% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (0.192 0.19)59.61% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (0.148 0.15)79.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (0.214 0.21)24.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (0.29499999999999 0.29)59.56% (-0.295 -0.3)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (-0.052 -0.05)40.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)76.86% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.03%
    Cruzeiro 24.63%
    Draw 27.32%
BahiaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Bahia vs Cruzeiro

Bahia
60.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruzeiro
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 29
Cruzeiro
3-0
Bahia
Kanu (19' og.), Marlon (53'), Rodrigues (88')
Silva (27'), Machado (75')

Candido (63'), Oliveira Souza (90')
Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
2-2
Cruzeiro
Kayky (18'), Sales (66')
Kayky (19'), Rezende (27'), Carlos (51'), Kanu (68'), Fernandes (90+7')
Rodrigues (30'), Wesley (45+1')
Wallisson (64')
Nov 3, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
1-1
Bahia
Sassa (74')
Manuel Orejuela (45'), Fred (73'), Henrique (82')
Manuel Orejuela (64')
Fernandao (66' pen.)
Jul 20, 2019 9pm
Bahia
0-0
Cruzeiro
Arthur (35'), Ezequiel (56')
Arthur (42')
Caca (80')
Dec 2, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 38
Bahia
0-0
Cruzeiro
Elton (45'), Flavio (70'), Grolli (83'), Henrique (85')
Manoel (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo19124331161540
2FlamengoFlamengo18114332191337
3PalmeirasPalmeiras19113527141336
4FortalezaFortaleza189632318533
5Cruzeiro1810262520532
6Sao Paulo199552820832
7Bahia199462823531
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR177462017325
9BragantinoBragantino177462220225
10Atletico Mineiro176742525025
11Vasco da GamaVasco187292028-823
12JuventudeJuventude175661922-321
13InternacionalInternacional145451212019
14CriciumaCriciuma174672427-318
15Corinthians184681523-818
16Cuiaba174581822-417
17Vitoria1943122032-1215
18Gremio1642101220-814
19Fluminense1835101424-1014
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO1926111629-1312


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