MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 05:40:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Cuiaba

Bahia
1 - 2
Cuiaba

Lucas (49')
de Pena (45'), Xavier (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pitta (22', 51')
Denilson (37'), Empereur (44'), Walter (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-0 Cuiaba

Petit's men are expected to make the match tedious to play in, keen to secure a potentially much-needed point. While this should work to an extent, Bahia's ability to score at one end and prevent them at the other should be enough for a slender margin of victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawCuiaba
63.03% (-0.106 -0.11) 22.48% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 14.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.72% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.17 -0.17)54.13% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.141 -0.14)75.54% (0.14 0.14)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)16.68% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (-0.171 -0.17)46.55% (0.171 0.17)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.27% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)48.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.24% (-0.029 -0.03)83.76% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 63.02%
    Cuiaba 14.49%
    Draw 22.48%
BahiaDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 14.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.03%
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.49%

How you voted: Bahia vs Cuiaba

Bahia
77.8%
Draw
18.5%
Cuiaba
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 33
Bahia
0-3
Cuiaba

Rezende (80')
Candido (20')
Deyverson (22' pen.), Pitta (77'), Ronald (90+8')
Cafu (36'), Allyson (43'), Rikelme (85')
Jul 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Cuiaba
1-1
Bahia
Deyverson (18' pen.)
Cafu (42'), Ronald (90+3')
Empereur (51' og.)
Dhominique (37'), Xavier (78'), Acevedo (90+3')
Nov 21, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 34
Bahia
0-0
Cuiaba
Capixaba (86')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Gameweek 15
Cuiaba
1-1
Bahia
Pepe (37')
Paulao (79')
Marques (90')
Rodrigoinho (26')
Rossi (58'), Rodallega (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo25155543241950
2FortalezaFortaleza2514653124748
3PalmeirasPalmeiras25145638191947
4FlamengoFlamengo24135639281144
5Cruzeiro2512583426841
6Sao Paulo2512583326741
7Bahia2511683427739
8InternacionalInternacional239862420435
9Vasco da GamaVasco24104102934-534
10Atletico Mineiro238963233-133
11BragantinoBragantino2486102930-130
12Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2385102628-229
13JuventudeJuventude2578102935-629
14CriciumaCriciuma2477103235-328
15Gremio2383122328-527
16Fluminense2476112026-627
17Corinthians25510102231-925
18Vitoria2564152639-1322
19Cuiaba2457122335-1222
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2546152140-1918


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