MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 23:37:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Cuiaba

Bahia
1 - 2
Cuiaba

Lucas (49')
de Pena (45'), Xavier (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pitta (22', 51')
Denilson (37'), Empereur (44'), Walter (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-0 Cuiaba

Petit's men are expected to make the match tedious to play in, keen to secure a potentially much-needed point. While this should work to an extent, Bahia's ability to score at one end and prevent them at the other should be enough for a slender margin of victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawCuiaba
63.03% (-0.106 -0.11) 22.48% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 14.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.72% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.17 -0.17)54.13% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.141 -0.14)75.54% (0.14 0.14)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)16.68% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (-0.171 -0.17)46.55% (0.171 0.17)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.27% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)48.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.24% (-0.029 -0.03)83.76% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 63.02%
    Cuiaba 14.49%
    Draw 22.48%
BahiaDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 14.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.03%
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.49%

How you voted: Bahia vs Cuiaba

Bahia
77.8%
Draw
18.5%
Cuiaba
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 33
Bahia
0-3
Cuiaba

Rezende (80')
Candido (20')
Deyverson (22' pen.), Pitta (77'), Ronald (90+8')
Cafu (36'), Allyson (43'), Rikelme (85')
Jul 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Cuiaba
1-1
Bahia
Deyverson (18' pen.)
Cafu (42'), Ronald (90+3')
Empereur (51' og.)
Dhominique (37'), Xavier (78'), Acevedo (90+3')
Nov 21, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 34
Bahia
0-0
Cuiaba
Capixaba (86')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Gameweek 15
Cuiaba
1-1
Bahia
Pepe (37')
Paulao (79')
Marques (90')
Rodrigoinho (26')
Rossi (58'), Rodallega (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1JuventudeJuventude11002023
2FortalezaFortaleza11002023
3Cruzeiro11002113
4Vasco da GamaVasco11002113
5Gremio11002113
6BragantinoBragantino10102201
7CearaCeara10102201
8Corinthians10101101
9InternacionalInternacional10101101
10Bahia10101101
11FlamengoFlamengo10101101
12PalmeirasPalmeiras10100001
13Sao Paulo10100001
14Botafogo10100001
15Sport RecifeSport10100001
16Atletico Mineiro100112-10
17SantosSantos100112-10
18Mirassol100112-10
19Fluminense100102-20
20Vitoria100102-20


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