MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:14:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

A closely-fought contest between two teams eager to bounce back from defeats last weekend is set to take place on Saturday, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top. Augsburg have favoured playing in front of their own fans so far this season, but Dortmund have enjoyed their recent meetings with Die Fuggerstadter and should ultimately have enough firepower to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.11% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45) 22.13% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 42.75% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 68.34% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (-0.307 -0.31)31.8% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (-0.361 -0.36)53.33% (0.364 0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-0.348 -0.35)18.93% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (-0.585 -0.59)50.44% (0.588 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.030000000000001 0.03)15.71% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.055 0.05)44.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.11%
    Borussia Dortmund 42.75%
    Draw 22.13%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.23% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 42.75%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
14.6%
Draw
14.6%
Borussia Dortmund
70.7%
41
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-3
Dortmund

Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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