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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Heidenheim

Augsburg
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Gouweleeuw (22')
Mbabu (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimber (73'), Pick (90+4'), Theuerkauf (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Augsburg
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Heidenheim

 Both teams will be motivated to collect maximum points this weekend, as victory for either side would all but guarantee survival for next season and boost their hopes of finishing the campaign in the top half of the table. Augsburg got the better of Heidenheim the last time that these two teams met, but we can see the visitors, who have been strong away from home in recent weeks, claiming a share of the spoils in an entertaining affair this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawHeidenheim
38.7% (-0.116 -0.12) 23.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 37.64% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 62.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.017000000000003 0.02)39.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)61.49% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)20.5% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)52.99% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.02% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.102 0.1)53.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 38.7%
    Heidenheim 37.64%
    Draw 23.66%
AugsburgDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.7%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Heidenheim

Augsburg
57.1%
Draw
31.4%
Heidenheim
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heidenheim
2-5
Augsburg
Kleindienst (17'), Beste (18')
Kleindienst (31'), Beck (51'), Siersleben (90+2')
Tietz (29'), Pedersen (41'), Demirovic (42'), Uduokhai (64'), Rexhbecaj (88' pen.)
Pedersen (45+2'), Bauer (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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