Millwall

3 - 1

Cardiff

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.