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Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall

 With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
72.3% (0.249 0.25) 17.9% (0.17 0.17) 9.8% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 42.36% (-2.093 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.949 -1.95)46.55% (1.952 1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.858 -1.86)68.83% (1.86 1.86)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)11.47% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-1.034 -1.03)36.31% (1.037 1.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85% (-2.097 -2.1)52.15% (2.1 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (-1.407 -1.41)86.1% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.29%
    Millwall 9.8%
    Draw 17.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.81 0.81)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.252 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.218 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.29%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.9%
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.2%
Draw
12.1%
Millwall
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425
> Championship Full Table


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