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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
32.66% ( 0.63) | 26.17% ( 0.33) | 41.17% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.55% ( -1.19) | 51.45% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.74% ( -1.05) | 73.26% ( 1.05) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( -0.18) | 29.62% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.34% ( -0.22) | 65.66% ( 0.22) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -1.02) | 24.69% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% ( -1.44) | 59.22% ( 1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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