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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Portsmouth

Stoke
6 - 1
Portsmouth

Cannon (13', 43', 48' pen., 51'), Gallagher (45+1'), Moran (54')
Moran (55'), Bae (73')
FT(HT: 3-1)
O'Mahony (29')
Lane (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Portsmouth

 Stoke have not faced Portsmouth since 2014, but they have historically fared well in head-to-head home meetings, having won five and drawn two of their previous seven home games against Pompey. With that in mind, we think that the Potters will make full use of home advantage to edge out Portsmouth to clinch the first win of Pelach's tenure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth
49.48% (0.813 0.81) 24.62% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 25.9% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.466 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.297 -0.3)48.4% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (-0.272 -0.27)70.54% (0.267 0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.214 0.21)19.59% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.354 0.35)51.53% (-0.359 -0.36)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (-0.765 -0.77)32.98% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (-0.854 -0.85)69.56% (0.84700000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.47%
    Portsmouth 25.9%
    Draw 24.61%
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Stoke vs Portsmouth

Stoke City
55.3%
Draw
15.8%
Portsmouth
28.9%
76
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Stoke
3-0
Portsmouth
Walters (16', 47'), Crouch (90')
Adam (85')
> Match Report
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Stoke
Piquionne (35')
O'Hara (60'), Hreidarsson (90')
Huth (50')
Wilkinson (67')
Wilkinson (73')
Nov 22, 2009 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Portsmouth
Fuller (74')
Whitehead (45')

Brown (35'), Mullins (59')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Portsmouth
Beattie (80', 78' pen.)
Lawrence (58')
Shawcross (90' og.), Kranjcar (75')
Hreidarsson (58'), Johnson (77'), Davis (79')
Oct 5, 2008 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Stoke
Defoe (51'), Crouch (25')
Fuller (48')
Olofinjana (22'), Simonsen (66'), Faye (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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