EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough0 - 5Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City
This is a tricky game to call, as both managers will make changes on Tuesday, and it is a match that could go either way. Middlesbrough will be able to call upon home advantage, though, and we are backing Carrick's team to navigate their way into the third round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
42.46% ( 0.01) | 25.55% ( 0) | 31.98% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.01) | 49.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% ( -0.01) | 71.13% ( 0.01) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( -0) | 22.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.22% ( -0) | 56.77% ( 0) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( -0.01) | 28.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% ( -0.02) | 64.74% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 42.46%
Stoke City 31.98%
Draw 25.55%
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.98% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke
Middlesbrough
76.7%Draw
13.6%Stoke City
9.7%103
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-22 00:01:50
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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