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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stoke logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tchamadeu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Stoke City

Oxford will head into this contest with every expectation that they will make it three successive wins at the Kassam Stadium. However, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils in what we anticipate being an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
30.88% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 44.06% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.102 0.1)47.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.55% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)28.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.102 -0.1)64.58% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (0.15400000000001 0.15)21.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.238 0.24)54.54% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 30.88%
    Stoke City 44.06%
    Draw 25.06%
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stoke

Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
23.9%
Stoke City
37.0%
46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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