MX23RW : Monday, September 16 18:57:35| >> :60:202:202:
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
Vasco da Gama

Atletico GO
1 - 1
Vasco

Rodriguez (7')
Maguinho (32'), Baralhas (43'), Martins (72'), Rhaldney (79'), Freitas (90+8')
Maguinho (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vegetti (88')
Henrique (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Goianiense and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Vasco da Gama

While Vasco da Gama have suffered a slump in form of late, they will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Goianiense side who have failed to win any of their last 11 matches. Paiva's men are unbeaten in their last three visits to the Estadio Antonio Accioly and we fancy them to secure a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
47.04% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 27.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.22% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)55.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)70.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 47.03%
    Vasco da Gama 27.18%
    Draw 25.77%
Atletico GoianienseDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Atletico GO vs Vasco

Atletico Goianiense
31.3%
Draw
37.5%
Vasco da Gama
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 17
Atletico GO
0-1
Vasco

Martins (16'), Janderson (32')
David (51')
Moura (30'), Carvalho (45'), Rayan (74')
Jan 8, 2021 12am
Sep 11, 2020 1am
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-2
Atletico GO
Paiva (51')
Victor (44')
rhs 2.0
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