Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly
We said: Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Vasco da Gama
While Vasco da Gama have suffered a slump in form of late, they will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Goianiense side who have failed to win any of their last 11 matches. Paiva's men are unbeaten in their last three visits to the Estadio Antonio Accioly and we fancy them to secure a narrow victory in this one.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 47.04% . A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.55%) . The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood .
Result Atletico Goianiense Draw Vasco da Gama 47.04% ( 0.02) 25.78% ( -0.01) 27.18% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0)
47.72% ( 0.01) 52.28% ( -0.01)
26.02% ( 0.01) 73.98% ( -0.01)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
77.78% ( 0.01) 22.22% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.36% ( 0.02) 55.64% ( -0.02)
65.98% ( -0.01) 34.02% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.3% ( -0.01) 70.7% ( 0.01)
Atletico Goianiense 47.03%
Vasco da Gama 27.18%
Draw 25.77%
Atletico Goianiense Draw Vasco da Gama 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.03% 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.77% 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.18%
How you voted: Atletico GO vs Vasco
Atletico Goianiense
Draw
Vasco da Gama
16
rhs 2.0
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