MX23RW : Thursday, June 20 20:36:14| >> :60:93:93:
Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fortaleza

Vasco
3 - 3
Fortaleza

Vegetti (17' pen., 65'), Piton (76')
Victor (27'), Payet (71'), Henrique (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marinho (8'), Martin Lucero (54'), Hercules (89')
Marinho (81')
Vasco win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-0 Fortaleza (Fortaleza advances on penalties)

The last four competitive matches between these two teams at Estadio Sao Januario were decided by a goal or fewer, and we expect another nail-biter on Tuesday. In the end, we are counting on Fortaleza's experience in pressure situations over the past few seasons to give them a slight edge in this decisive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
47.35% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 25.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)49.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)20.97% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.88% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 47.35%
    Fortaleza 27.48%
    Draw 25.17%
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 27.48%

How you voted: Vasco vs Fortaleza

Vasco da Gama
47.4%
Draw
36.8%
Fortaleza
15.8%
19
Head to Head
May 1, 2024
11pm
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
2-0
Vasco
Galhardo (87'), Romero (90+4')
Hercules (42'), Ricardo (90+1'), Pikachu (90+7')

Capasso (5')
Feb 10, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
3-0
Vasco
Torres (7'), David (44'), Romarinho (63')
Dias (66'), Juninho (77')

Alves (31'), Castan (60'), Tenorio (75')
Nov 19, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 16
Vasco
0-0
Fortaleza
Alves (32'), Matos (39')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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