MX23RW : Monday, September 16 02:27:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Fortaleza

Vasco
2 - 0
Fortaleza

Carvalho (45+3'), Vegetti (63')
Maicon (37'), Moura (52'), David (64'), Piton (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martin Lucero (35'), Titi (65'), Rossetto (67')
Hercules (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Botafogo
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vasco da Gama 1-1 Fortaleza

While Vasco have lost every single away game, they have looked a better team on home soil, and their chances of getting something in this game is increased by Fortaleza's poor away record - considering these factors, we have settled for a score draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
38.32% (-1.181 -1.18) 25.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 36.04% (1.164 1.16)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)48.61% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (0.050000000000001 0.05)70.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)24.9% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.843 -0.84)59.52% (0.844 0.84)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.709 0.71)26.17% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.94 0.94)61.25% (-0.939 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 38.32%
    Fortaleza 36.04%
    Draw 25.64%
Vasco da GamaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.155 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.144 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.04%

How you voted: Vasco vs Fortaleza

Vasco da Gama
32.6%
Draw
34.8%
Fortaleza
32.6%
46
Head to Head
May 22, 2024 1.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Vasco
3-3
Fortaleza
(Aggregate 3-3 | Vasco win 5-4 on penalties)
Vegetti (17' pen., 65'), Piton (76')
Victor (27'), Payet (71'), Henrique (81')
Marinho (8'), Martin Lucero (54'), Hercules (89')
Marinho (81')
May 1, 2024
11pm
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
2-0
Vasco
Galhardo (87'), Romero (90+4')
Hercules (42'), Ricardo (90+1'), Pikachu (90+7')

Capasso (5')
Feb 10, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
3-0
Vasco
Torres (7'), David (44'), Romarinho (63')
Dias (66'), Juninho (77')

Alves (31'), Castan (60'), Tenorio (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo26165545252053
2PalmeirasPalmeiras26155643192450
3FortalezaFortaleza2614753225749
4FlamengoFlamengo25136640291145
5Sao Paulo2613583426844
6Bahia26126837271042
7Cruzeiro2612593427741
8Vasco da GamaVasco25105103035-535
9InternacionalInternacional239862420435
10Atletico Mineiro248973236-433
11JuventudeJuventude2688103136-532
12BragantinoBragantino2587103132-131
13Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2486102729-230
14Gremio2484122530-528
15CriciumaCriciuma2577113240-828
16Fluminense2576122128-727
17Vitoria2674152839-1125
18Corinthians26510112333-1025
19Cuiaba2457122335-1222
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2646162142-2118


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!