Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó
Huracan4 - 1Guarani
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Huracan and Guarani.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Huracan
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Guarani 3-1 Ameliano
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.28%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.99%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
Result | ||
Huracan | Draw | Guarani |
74.05% ( 0.15) | 18.19% ( -0.1) | 7.77% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 33.67% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.3% ( 0.21) | 53.7% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% ( 0.18) | 75.19% ( -0.17) |
Huracan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% ( 0.11) | 13.05% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.39% ( 0.22) | 39.61% ( -0.21) |
Guarani Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.73% ( 0) | 61.28% ( 0) |